Project PIs:
This project has to do with how to make projections of future sea level rise that are the most useful for people making on-the-ground decisions, even under the considerable uncertainty that still exists surrounding future ice sheet melt. In particular, we are interested in determining the minimum level of uncertainty attainable in projections of future global sea level that comes from unpredictable fluctuations in the climate system, leading to probabilistic projections of ice sheet melt (see accompanying figure). The central goal of this project is to quantify and understand the role of this internal climate variability in causing uncertainty in the rates of ice loss from the Antarctic Ice Sheet. This project will also help in understanding the causes of increasing ice loss from Antarctica over the past several decades.
